希拉里成功竞选为美国总统的机率有多高?

我看好希拉克，首先前总统克林顿可以对她取到很大的帮助，其次她的选举筹资，已经很大幅度领先其他人了。我想很大的希望，她会成为美历史上第一个女总统。据我所知，在爱尔兰，还有赌博公司专门设立“美国下任总统是谁”的赌法，希拉克是最多人下注的。你知道，爱尔兰是英语国家啊

美国是个男权社会，虽然共和党很烂，但是如果希拉里通过党内初选，我不看好她~~~~~~

我不认为没有可能性，但是难度很大。

不可能!

可能性有3.1415926......

Hillary's Ahead in 32 of 34 States
We have seen a wide range of national polls. The latest Gallup poll shows Hillary leading her closest competitor 38 percent to 19 percent, and leading with 43 percent without Al Gore in the race - more than twice the vote of any other candidate. This mirrors several other polls - Fox/Opinion Dynamics (pdf), RT/Cook Strategies - that came out at the same time and all show widened leads. Then something like Time Magazine comes out and says the lead is 7 points (similar to their last poll), and LA Times/Bloomberg puts it at 10.

So who is right and what accounts for the difference?

Well, when in doubt about the national polls, go to the state polls - they have larger samples